The betting on football is the most well-known form of betting that one can dream of, and there are nearly numerous strategies to be found, as are punters I would say.
There are more conservative types of punters. There are punters who like to take a risk every day but there is also something that basically everybody has checked at least once before placing a bet on football – statistics.
While relying entirely on statistics is not a popular approach and certainly one of the most rigid strategies that can be used, it’s an effective strategy that will help regardless of the ultimate goal.
In this short piece I’ll look at the most useful stats, that in the present time and age are accessible online.
Form, Tables, Injuries, and Form
There are, obviously, the most straightforward and fundamental stats one can look at before beginning to look at the results of a football match.
If you do not know anything about a team, you can have a pretty decent idea of what the team’s focused on based solely on its previous performance and its position within the competition.
I am far from concluding that you should support an individual team just because it’s over another team. However, an study of the table’s positions as well as forms can’t be done without looking at the basics. Betting School
I’ll go even further by saying that even though tables are useful for getting to know leagues and teams, in modern football or even English football to be more specific, judging a book according to its appearance or a team by its position is the fastest way to suffer heavy losses. However, this is not the case when it comes to the form.
Although any team is susceptible to suffering from momentary losses of form at any time during the season, linking expectations for the season, injuries and performance is a decent way to make an informed prediction about how a certain team would do in the upcoming fixtures.
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Unfortunately all that means additional research and work into single games . However, I’ve observed that people do like to be convinced of certain conclusions through doing that extra work and feeling more scientifically informed about their betting.
In terms of science, the structure is more complex that is more beneficial to understand and also the strength of opposition.
In order for a team to be classified as ‘in-form’ from a strictly betting perspective, it is not sufficient just to win three or more games in succession, however, it is necessary to beat opponents or teams directly.
How In Form Are The Team Really?
A team that has the form of WWW may just have played two cup matches against teams from lower leagues and the bottom-placed team. You must dig deeper.
It is useless to say that the heavy favourite was equally heavily defeated 3:0 and the bookies were also knocked out by this more scientific approach and greater comprehension of the term “form’.
I have a memory of that team ending being in the middle of the table at the end of the season. It was exactly as the pre-season predictions were for it to be at the end of the season.
Never mind what happens for just 3-4 weeks during the course of a 9-10 month season The consistency matters the most. placing teams that do not seem to be consistently can be a good way to locate a good value bet.
Deeper Statistics, Shots, Possession
Because most punters don’t take the time to conduct an in-depth analysis of their betting, some valuable statistics go unexplored and could be one reason why certain bets lose despite looking rock solid.
League tables and form are only the top of the iceberg in the battle between strength and form going slightly under the surface however the actual game’s stats could create a perfect picture of the dynamics of performances of particular teams and players over longer lengths of time. Online Football Betting
Possession and the number of shots are the initial two elements I consider when making bets on in-play however it’s not just at this point that they can prove useful.
We are aware that in modern-day football, the capacity of teams to retain possession and create chances is what makes them favourites therefore it shouldn’t come as a surprise to observe that more often than not, bookmakers respond to such stats by reducing some odds for specific teams in what is deemed ‘close games’.
If teams can see more of the ball, they will have more opportunities to think creatively This is the reason I always look at possession in conjunction with the quantity of shots and shots that hit the target.
I compare possession statistics to shots on target in order to judge the previous games.
If a team dominates the ball and scores more shots every game, and then wins these games, it’s quite obvious that the team will be a fan favorite and with good reason.
While at the same time there are that are market favorites who may be having 60% possession, but they can only get 3 shots or less on target or their win streaks include a lot of 1:0s.
I’m aware that Leicester has won it’s Premier League with a string of narrow victories and 90% of them being not in the direction of play, however, if we take the time to analyse the stats of their opponents and come to the conclusion that in most cases the Foxes only had a maximum of shots to the target.
They were on the wrong side against rivals like Crystal Palace, Southampton and even being relegated Newcastle but they still prevailed and the example we have seen should provide us with a clear understanding of how this defensive effectiveness can be observed solely by keeping an eye on shots and possession.
It is possible that my personal observations could be interpreted differently and it’s the responsibility of the punter on his own to draw conclusions on teams, trends in results and importance of possession, however, a obvious consensus is that such statistics will help us decide whether to make a bet or look elsewhere.
League Statistics, Goals, Draws, History
From the top of our iceberg. We also have the standard league statistics that, in some cases, have a major role to play in discovering value in the more obscure markets.
I always look at such simple things as the average number of goals played in games and the average number of draws or historical information regarding leagues as a base for selecting games in countries that I have less knowledge about.
Data from the past can be misleading when players, teams and season profiles change, but you would agree that the league cannot go from extremely competitive to completely one-sided with 2-3 favourites in just a few years or that.
What I refer to as highly competitive leagues is where teams are well-balanced and have more draws, or, if they are better, more unexpected outsider wins. Financial Trading
While they’re certainly fascinating, they are also more difficult to comprehend and take more time to discover the underlying dynamics.
For goals, you won’t find to see a league where the majority of teams have scored less than 2 goals per game in the past 3-4 seasons, or have rarely had more than 5 shots in a game to suddenly transform into an exciting league with high scoring.
It is worthwhile to keep track of them because they’re extremely stable for long periods of time and if you have not made a lot of bets on them before, you may be drawn to the potential of some markets without understanding why is it so.
French League 2 is what immediately comes to mind as I’ve been doing a number of tasks and have even written about French League 2 in the past.
This league has been ruling unders on the market for decades and bookies have valued the unders accordingly.
Retrospectively looking back on the last five seasons of a particular league can reap rewards with regard to statistics.
Lastly, while historical data on leagues are useful and fascinating to analyze however, the data from teams’ historical records are what I would consider to be a double-edged weapon.
I’ve seen and heard the argument of a team doing historically well against another team, but this is only valid in the absence of teams going through significant modifications.
It is likely that up to 2010 Man City were often historically beat by Tottenham however, they were victorious in eight of the subsequent nine matches in the rivalry.
It’s a problem of cross-referencing as well as being current in relation to team and organisation dynamics.
In lower leagues, it is more challenging for sure but this is part of the role of the punter.